Value bet: Estrella Del Sur to win @ 4.20 – our chance 31% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacachispas to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur preview and prediction
The match
Estrella Del Sur travel to Estadio Beto Larrosa in the Primera C on Sunday 4 October (19:00 WAT) to face Sacachispas. Sacachispas are 2nd with 50 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Estrella Del Sur sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sacachispas's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Berazategui 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Estrella Del Sur's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Argentino Rosario 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Estrella Del Sur 0–0 Sacachispas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Sacachispas and 0.8 for Estrella Del Sur. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sacachispas 43%, draw 26%, Estrella Del Sur 31%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Estrella Del Sur to win at 4.20 – 31% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Sacachispas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sacachispas43%fair 2.31 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.55
Estrella Del Sur31%fair 3.22 · @4.20
1.92Expected goals
1.08Sacachispas xG
0.85Estrella Del Sur xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sacachispas 1.1 – 0.8 Estrella Del Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?
On our numbers Sacachispas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estrella Del Sur 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Our predicted score is Sacachispas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Sacachispas vs Estrella Del Sur (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Beto Larrosa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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