Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 26 Sep 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultLugano to win ✗58% · @1.90

Double chanceLugano or draw ✓80% · @1.17

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.53

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano preview and prediction

The match

Lugano travel to face Deportivo Paraguayo in the Primera C on Saturday 26 September (19:00 WAT). Deportivo Paraguayo are 12th with 32 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Lugano sit 7th on 46 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Deportivo Paraguayo's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Puerto Nuevo 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Lugano's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Estrella Del Sur 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Lugano 0–0 Deportivo Paraguayo.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.6 for Deportivo Paraguayo and 1.4 for Lugano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.

Betting angles

Win chances: Deportivo Paraguayo 20%, draw 22%, Lugano 58%.
Safer route: Lugano or draw (80%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Lugano to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Deportivo Paraguayo 0–1 Lugano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo Paraguayo20%fair 5.02 · @4.20

Draw22%fair 4.47 · @2.90

Lugano58%fair 1.73 · @1.90

2.04Expected goals

0.65Deportivo Paraguayo xG

1.40Lugano xG

48%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–118%

0–013%

0–213%

1–112%

1–08%

1–28%

From our goals model: Deportivo Paraguayo 0.6 – 1.4 Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lugano to win ✗	58%	1.73	1.90 ▲
Double chance	Lugano or draw ✓	80%	1.25	1.17
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	52%	1.92	1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.53	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.14
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lugano / FT Lugano ✗	33%	3.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	18%	5.53	–

Form

Deportivo Paraguayo – last 6

WLWDWL

20 Sep	@ Puerto Nuevo	3–2	W
12 Sep	@ Lujan	0–3	L
6 Sep	vs Leandro N. Alem	4–1	W
29 Aug	@ Defensores de Cambaceres	0–0	D
22 Aug	vs Juventud Unida	2–1	W
16 Aug	vs Sportivo Barracas	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Lugano – last 6

DDWDWL

20 Sep	vs Estrella Del Sur	1–1	D
12 Sep	vs Leones de Rosario	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Puerto Nuevo	1–0	W
31 Aug	vs Berazategui	1–1	D
22 Aug	@ Leandro N. Alem	1–0	W
16 Aug	vs Lujan	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Berazategui	32	13	12	7	+16	51
2	Sacachispas	32	14	8	10	+7	50
3	Estrella Del Sur	32	12	12	8	+3	48
4	Centro Español	32	12	11	9	+13	47
5	Mercedes	32	12	11	9	+7	47
6	Victoriano Arenas	32	11	14	7	+7	47
7	Lugano	32	11	13	8	+6	46
8	Juventud Unida	32	12	9	11	+6	45
9	Puerto Nuevo	32	10	11	11	-6	41
10	Defensores de Cambaceres	32	9	9	14	-9	36
11	JJ Urquiza	32	7	14	11	-5	35
12	Deportivo Paraguayo	32	7	11	14	-18	32
13	Leandro N. Alem	32	8	7	17	-28	31
14	Argentino Rosario	32	4	15	13	-12	27

Team

Pts

+16

+13

-6

Defensores de Cambaceres

-9

-5

-18

-28

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano?

On our numbers Deportivo Paraguayo have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lugano 58%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Paraguayo 0–1 Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano?

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Lugano (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes