Atletico Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Sportivo Barracas to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Atlas to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.00
Atletico Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Atlas host Sportivo Barracas in the Primera C on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Atletico Atlas are 10th with 37 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Sportivo Barracas sit 7th on 40 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Atletico Atlas's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Lujan 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Barracas's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Canuelas 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Atletico Atlas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 June 2026, finished Sportivo Barracas 1–0 Atletico Atlas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Atletico Atlas and 0.9 for Sportivo Barracas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sportivo Barracas to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atletico Atlas 0–0 Sportivo Barracas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Atlas38%fair 2.60 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @2.80
Sportivo Barracas36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
1.95Expected goals
1.00Atletico Atlas xG
0.95Sportivo Barracas xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Atlas 1.0 – 0.9 Sportivo Barracas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atletico Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas?
On our numbers Atletico Atlas have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Barracas 36%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our predicted score is Atletico Atlas 0–0 Sportivo Barracas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas?
Atletico Atlas vs Sportivo Barracas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Berazategui3
Sacachispas0