Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBerazategui to win ✗38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.29
Lugano vs Berazategui preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Lugano take on Berazategui on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Lugano are 7th with 46 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Berazategui sit 1st on 51 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Lugano's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Leandro N. Alem 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Berazategui's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Victoriano Arenas 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Lugano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Lugano and 1.0 for Berazategui. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Lugano 0–1 Berazategui. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lugano36%fair 2.75 · @2.75
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.85
Berazategui38%fair 2.65 · @2.60
2.00Expected goals
0.99Lugano xG
1.01Berazategui xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lugano 1.0 – 1.0 Berazategui expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berazategui to win✗
38%
2.65
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.29
–
Form
Lugano – last 6
WLDWWW
22 Aug
@ Leandro N. Alem
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Lujan
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Centro Español
1–0
W
17 Jul
vs Sportivo Barracas
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Berazategui – last 6
LDLWDL
22 Aug
@ Victoriano Arenas
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Fénix
2–2
D
8 Aug
vs Centro Español
0–1
L
4 Aug
vs Central Cordoba
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ JJ Urquiza
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Mercedes
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lugano and Berazategui.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Lugano vs Berazategui?
On our numbers Lugano have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Berazategui 38%.
How many goals will there be in Lugano vs Berazategui?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lugano vs Berazategui?
Our predicted score is Lugano 0–1 Berazategui, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lugano vs Berazategui?
Lugano vs Berazategui (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sportivo Barracas0
Deportivo Español1
Leones de Rosario1
Atletico Atlas0