Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Porvenir to win ✓40% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77
El Porvenir vs Claypole preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees El Porvenir take on Claypole on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). El Porvenir are 8th with 40 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Claypole sit 11th on 36 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
El Porvenir's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Central Ballester 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Claypole's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Fénix 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for El Porvenir and 0.9 for Claypole. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Porvenir 40%, draw 26%, Claypole 35%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: El Porvenir 1–0 Claypole. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Porvenir40%fair 2.53 · @2.35
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Claypole35%fair 2.90 · @3.00
1.92Expected goals
1.01El Porvenir xG
0.91Claypole xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: El Porvenir 1.0 – 0.9 Claypole expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
El Porvenir to win✓
40%
2.53
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.77
–
Form
El Porvenir – last 6
DWLDLD
23 Aug
vs Central Ballester
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ JJ Urquiza
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Yupanqui
0–3
L
4 Aug
vs Fénix
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Mercedes
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Lujan
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Claypole – last 6
DWLLLD
24 Aug
vs Fénix
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Mercedes
1–0
W
10 Aug
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Lujan
1–3
L
26 Jul
@ General Lamadrid
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Porvenir and Claypole.
What is the prediction for El Porvenir vs Claypole?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Porvenir vs Claypole?
On our numbers El Porvenir have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Claypole 35%.
How many goals will there be in El Porvenir vs Claypole?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Porvenir vs Claypole?
Our predicted score is El Porvenir 1–0 Claypole, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Porvenir vs Claypole?
El Porvenir vs Claypole (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensores de Cambaceres0
Deportivo Paraguayo0