Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMercedes to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.19
Claypole vs Mercedes preview and prediction
The match
Mercedes travel to face Claypole in the Primera C on Tuesday 18 August (19:00 WAT). Claypole are 11th with 36 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Mercedes sit 5th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Claypole's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Sportivo Barracas 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mercedes's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Argentino Rosario 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mercedes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Claypole and 1.1 for Mercedes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Claypole 0–1 Mercedes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Claypole35%fair 2.85 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.95
Mercedes39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
2.03Expected goals
0.97Claypole xG
1.05Mercedes xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Claypole 1.0 – 1.1 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mercedes to win✗
39%
2.54
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.19
–
Form
Claypole – last 6
LLLDDL
10 Aug
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs Juventud Unida
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Lujan
1–3
L
26 Jul
@ General Lamadrid
0–0
D
13 Jul
vs Leones de Rosario
1–1
D
5 Jul
@ Atletico Atlas
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
LDWWDW
8 Aug
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
31 Jul
vs Estrella Del Sur
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Berazategui
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Victoriano Arenas
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Centro Español
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Claypole and Mercedes.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Claypole vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Claypole have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mercedes 39%.
How many goals will there be in Claypole vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Claypole vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Claypole 0–1 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Claypole vs Mercedes?
Claypole vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Muñiz0