Value bet: Estrella Del Sur to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanuelas to win ✗40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60
Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Canuelas take on Estrella Del Sur on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Canuelas are 2nd with 61 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Estrella Del Sur sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Canuelas's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Atletico Atlas 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Estrella Del Sur's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat JJ Urquiza 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Estrella Del Sur 0–2 Canuelas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Canuelas and 0.9 for Estrella Del Sur. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Canuelas 40%, draw 27%, Estrella Del Sur 33%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Estrella Del Sur to win at 3.30 – 33% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Canuelas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Canuelas40%fair 2.50 · @2.33
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.75
Estrella Del Sur33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
1.90Expected goals
1.01Canuelas xG
0.89Estrella Del Sur xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Canuelas 1.0 – 0.9 Estrella Del Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
On our numbers Canuelas have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Estrella Del Sur 33%.
How many goals will there be in Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Our predicted score is Canuelas 1–0 Estrella Del Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur?
Canuelas vs Estrella Del Sur (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Central Ballester3
General Lamadrid1