Value bet: Canuelas to win @ 2.40 – our chance 47% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanuelas to win ✗47% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.86
Atletico Atlas vs Canuelas preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Atlas host Canuelas in the Primera C on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Atletico Atlas are 10th with 37 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while Canuelas sit 2nd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Atlas's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Sacachispas 0–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Canuelas's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Yupanqui 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Atletico Atlas and 1.1 for Canuelas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Canuelas to win at 2.40 – 47% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Atletico Atlas 0–1 Canuelas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Atlas29%fair 3.44 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.90
Canuelas47%fair 2.12 · @2.40
1.87Expected goals
0.76Atletico Atlas xG
1.10Canuelas xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Atlas 0.8 – 1.1 Canuelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canuelas to win✗
47%
2.12
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canuelas / FT Canuelas✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.86
–
Form
Atletico Atlas – last 6
LDLWWW
4 Aug
vs Sacachispas
0–2
L
30 Jul
@ Deportivo Muñiz
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Español
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Central Cordoba
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Claypole
2–1
W
30 Jun
@ Central Ballester
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Canuelas – last 6
WLWWDW
3 Aug
@ Yupanqui
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Muñiz
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Leandro N. Alem
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Deportivo Español
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Central Cordoba
0–0
D
30 Jun
@ Claypole
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Atlas and Canuelas.
What is the prediction for Atletico Atlas vs Canuelas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Atletico Atlas vs Canuelas?
On our numbers Atletico Atlas have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Canuelas 47%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Atlas vs Canuelas?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Atlas vs Canuelas?
Our predicted score is Atletico Atlas 0–1 Canuelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Atlas vs Canuelas?
Atletico Atlas vs Canuelas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Juventud Unida1
Puerto Nuevo1
Lugano0
Victoriano Arenas0