Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanuelas to win ✓48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Yupanqui vs Canuelas preview and prediction
The match
Canuelas travel to face Yupanqui in the Primera C on Monday 3 August (19:00 WAT). Yupanqui are 12th with 35 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Canuelas sit 2nd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yupanqui's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Fénix 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Canuelas's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Deportivo Muñiz 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Canuelas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Yupanqui and 1.2 for Canuelas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Yupanqui 0–1 Canuelas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yupanqui28%fair 3.52 · @3.55
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.88
Canuelas48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
2.02Expected goals
0.82Yupanqui xG
1.19Canuelas xG
50%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–013%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: Yupanqui 0.8 – 1.2 Canuelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canuelas to win✓
48%
2.09
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canuelas / FT Canuelas✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
Yupanqui – last 6
DDLWLL
27 Jul
@ Fénix
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Argentino Rosario
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Deportivo Muñiz
0–1
L
6 Jul
@ Sportivo Barracas
3–2
W
27 Jun
vs Deportivo Español
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Lujan
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Canuelas – last 6
LWWDWW
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Muñiz
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Leandro N. Alem
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Deportivo Español
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Central Cordoba
0–0
D
30 Jun
@ Claypole
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Central Ballester
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yupanqui and Canuelas.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Yupanqui vs Canuelas?
On our numbers Yupanqui have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Canuelas 48%.
How many goals will there be in Yupanqui vs Canuelas?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yupanqui vs Canuelas?
Our predicted score is Yupanqui 0–1 Canuelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Yupanqui vs Canuelas?
Yupanqui vs Canuelas (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 3 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
