Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Sacachispas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.77 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacachispas to win ✗63% · @1.77
Double chanceSacachispas or draw ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.88
Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Sacachispas take on Leandro N. Alem on Monday 27 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Beto Larrosa. Sacachispas are 2nd with 50 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Leandro N. Alem sit 13th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sacachispas's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Defensores de Cambaceres 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Leandro N. Alem's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Canuelas 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sacachispas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Sacachispas and 0.6 for Leandro N. Alem. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sacachispas 63%, draw 23%, Leandro N. Alem 14%.
Safer route: Sacachispas or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sacachispas to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sacachispas 1–0 Leandro N. Alem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sacachispas63%fair 1.58 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Leandro N. Alem14%fair 7.31 · @4.60
2.28Expected goals
1.67Sacachispas xG
0.61Leandro N. Alem xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sacachispas 1.7 – 0.6 Leandro N. Alem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacachispas to win✗
63%
1.58
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Sacachispas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacachispas / FT Sacachispas✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.88
–
Form
Sacachispas – last 6
WWLWDW
11 Jul
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
2–0
W
5 Jul
vs Juventud Unida
1–0
W
27 Jun
vs Lugano
0–1
L
15 Jun
vs Argentino Rosario
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–0
D
3 Jun
vs Berazategui
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Leandro N. Alem – last 6
LWLDDL
18 Jul
@ Canuelas
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Argentino Rosario
2–0
W
4 Jul
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Berazategui
1–1
D
13 Jun
vs Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Centro Español
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sacachispas and Leandro N. Alem.
What is the prediction for Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Our pick is Sacachispas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem?
On our numbers Sacachispas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Leandro N. Alem 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Our predicted score is Sacachispas 1–0 Leandro N. Alem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem?
Sacachispas vs Leandro N. Alem (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 27 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Beto Larrosa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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