Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBerazategui to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceBerazategui or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.19
Berazategui vs Mercedes preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Berazategui take on Mercedes on Saturday 25 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Berazategui are 1st with 51 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Mercedes sit 5th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Berazategui's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Deportivo Paraguayo 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mercedes's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat El Porvenir 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mercedes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Berazategui and 0.6 for Mercedes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Berazategui 1–0 Mercedes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Berazategui60%fair 1.65 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Mercedes14%fair 6.94 · @5.00
2.04Expected goals
1.48Berazategui xG
0.56Mercedes xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Berazategui 1.5 – 0.6 Mercedes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berazategui to win✗
60%
1.65
1.73
Double chance
Berazategui or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Berazategui / FT Berazategui✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.19
–
Form
Berazategui – last 6
WLDWLD
11 Jul
@ Deportivo Paraguayo
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Puerto Nuevo
0–2
L
28 Jun
@ Leandro N. Alem
1–1
D
8 Jun
vs Juventud Unida
2–1
W
3 Jun
@ Sacachispas
0–1
L
24 May
vs Argentino Rosario
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mercedes – last 6
WDWWLD
18 Jul
vs El Porvenir
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs Victoriano Arenas
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ Centro Español
3–0
W
27 Jun
vs JJ Urquiza
5–0
W
14 Jun
@ Lugano
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Berazategui and Mercedes.
What is the prediction for Berazategui vs Mercedes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Berazategui vs Mercedes?
On our numbers Berazategui have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mercedes 14%.
How many goals will there be in Berazategui vs Mercedes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Berazategui vs Mercedes?
Our predicted score is Berazategui 1–0 Mercedes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Berazategui vs Mercedes?
Berazategui vs Mercedes (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Atlas0
Deportivo Español1
Leones de Rosario0
Central Cordoba2