Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Estrella Del Sur take on Lujan on Tuesday 4 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Estrella Del Sur are 3rd with 48 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Lujan sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estrella Del Sur's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Mercedes 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lujan's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Claypole 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Estrella Del Sur and 0.9 for Lujan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estrella Del Sur 44%, draw 25%, Lujan 31%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Estrella Del Sur 1–0 Lujan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrella Del Sur44%fair 2.27 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.70
Lujan31%fair 3.23 · @3.25
1.95Expected goals
1.10Estrella Del Sur xG
0.85Lujan xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Estrella Del Sur 1.1 – 0.9 Lujan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estrella Del Sur to win✗
44%
2.27
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estrella Del Sur / FT Estrella Del Sur✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.40
–
Form
Estrella Del Sur – last 6
DWLWWL
31 Jul
@ Mercedes
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
1–0
W
12 Jul
@ Puerto Nuevo
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Leandro N. Alem
3–0
W
28 Jun
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
3–0
W
14 Jun
@ Juventud Unida
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lujan – last 6
WWDWLW
31 Jul
@ Claypole
3–1
W
26 Jul
vs Central Ballester
3–1
W
11 Jul
@ El Porvenir
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Fénix
2–1
W
29 Jun
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Yupanqui
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Del Sur and Lujan.
What is the prediction for Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?
On our numbers Estrella Del Sur have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lujan 31%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?
Our predicted score is Estrella Del Sur 1–0 Lujan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan?
Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan (Primera C) kicks off on Tuesday 4 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.