Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Mercedes to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMercedes to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceMercedes or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.24
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo preview and prediction
The match
Mercedes host Deportivo Paraguayo in the Primera C on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Mercedes are 5th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Paraguayo sit 12th on 32 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mercedes's last 4: DLLD Most recently they drew with Puerto Nuevo 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Deportivo Paraguayo's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Lugano 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Mercedes and 0.6 for Deportivo Paraguayo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Mercedes to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Mercedes 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mercedes57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.90
Deportivo Paraguayo18%fair 5.65 · @4.10
1.97Expected goals
1.37Mercedes xG
0.60Deportivo Paraguayo xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
0–014%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mercedes 1.4 – 0.6 Deportivo Paraguayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mercedes to win✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Mercedes or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mercedes / FT Mercedes✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.24
–
Form
Mercedes – last 4
DLLD
30 May
@ Puerto Nuevo
1–1
D
18 May
@ Deportivo Español
0–1
L
8 May
@ Defensores de Cambaceres
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Estrella Del Sur
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Deportivo Paraguayo – last 5
DLDLD
30 May
@ Lugano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Lujan
0–2
L
20 Apr
@ Sportivo Barracas
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Argentino Rosario
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Berazategui
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mercedes and Deportivo Paraguayo.
What is the prediction for Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
On our numbers Mercedes have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Paraguayo 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Our predicted score is Mercedes 1–0 Deportivo Paraguayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo?
Mercedes vs Deportivo Paraguayo (Primera C) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Deportivo Español1
Claypole0
Yupanqui2
Central Cordoba1
Leones de Rosario2
Sportivo Barracas0