Value bet: El Porvenir to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCanuelas to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60
Canuelas vs El Porvenir preview and prediction
The match
Canuelas host El Porvenir in the Primera C on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT). Canuelas are 2nd with 61 points from 32 games (in the top four), while El Porvenir sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Canuelas's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Fénix 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
El Porvenir's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Deportivo Muñiz 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Canuelas and 0.9 for El Porvenir. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Canuelas 42%, draw 25%, El Porvenir 32%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Value angle: El Porvenir to win at 3.40 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Canuelas 1–0 El Porvenir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Canuelas42%fair 2.36 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.70
El Porvenir32%fair 3.08 · @3.40
1.96Expected goals
1.07Canuelas xG
0.88El Porvenir xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Canuelas 1.1 – 0.9 El Porvenir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canuelas to win✗
42%
2.36
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.60
–
Form
Canuelas – last 6
WDWDDW
1 Jun
@ Fénix
2–0
W
17 May
@ Victoriano Arenas
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Estrella Del Sur
2–0
W
30 Mar
@ Deportivo Muñiz
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Central Cordoba
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Claypole
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
El Porvenir – last 6
WWDDDD
30 May
vs Deportivo Muñiz
2–1
W
27 Apr
@ Central Ballester
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Fénix
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Yupanqui
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canuelas and El Porvenir.
What is the prediction for Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
On our numbers Canuelas have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and El Porvenir 32%.
How many goals will there be in Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
Our predicted score is Canuelas 1–0 El Porvenir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Canuelas vs El Porvenir?
Canuelas vs El Porvenir (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoriano Arenas1
Defensores de Cambaceres0