Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Español to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.58
Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Deportivo Español take on Sportivo Barracas on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Deportivo Español are 3rd with 52 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Sportivo Barracas sit 7th on 40 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportivo Español's last 4: WDDL Most recently they beat General Lamadrid 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Barracas's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Central Cordoba 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Español and 0.9 for Sportivo Barracas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Español 47%, draw 24%, Sportivo Barracas 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Deportivo Español 1–0 Sportivo Barracas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Español47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.85
Sportivo Barracas29%fair 3.40 · @3.40
2.07Expected goals
1.20Deportivo Español xG
0.87Sportivo Barracas xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Español 1.2 – 0.9 Sportivo Barracas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Español to win✗
47%
2.14
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Español / FT Deportivo Español✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.58
–
Form
Deportivo Español – last 4
WDDL
10 Apr
vs General Lamadrid
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Atletico Atlas
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Yupanqui
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Sportivo Barracas – last 6
LDWLDL
27 Apr
vs Central Cordoba
1–2
L
20 Apr
vs Deportivo Paraguayo
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Lugano
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Central Ballester
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ El Porvenir
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Atletico Tucuman
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Español and Sportivo Barracas.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas?
On our numbers Deportivo Español have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sportivo Barracas 29%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Español 1–0 Sportivo Barracas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas?
Deportivo Español vs Sportivo Barracas (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
