Central Ballester vs El Porvenir prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: El Porvenir to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCentral Ballester to win ✗37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.46
Central Ballester vs El Porvenir preview and prediction
The match
El Porvenir travel to face Central Ballester in the Primera C on Monday 27 April (19:30 WAT). Central Ballester are 9th with 38 points from 32 games (in the bottom half), while El Porvenir sit 8th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Central Ballester's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Sportivo Barracas 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
El Porvenir's last 4: DDDD Most recently they drew with Fénix 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Central Ballester and 1.0 for El Porvenir. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Central Ballester 37%, draw 27%, El Porvenir 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.10.
Value angle: El Porvenir to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Central Ballester 1–1 El Porvenir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Central Ballester37%fair 2.71 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.70
El Porvenir36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
2.04Expected goals
1.03Central Ballester xG
1.01El Porvenir xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Central Ballester 1.0 – 1.0 El Porvenir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Ballester to win✗
37%
2.71
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.46
–
Form
Central Ballester – last 3
WLD
5 Apr
@ Sportivo Barracas
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ General Lamadrid
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
El Porvenir – last 4
DDDD
22 Apr
@ Fénix
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Yupanqui
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Sportivo Barracas
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Leones de Rosario
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Ballester and El Porvenir.
What is the prediction for Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
On our numbers Central Ballester have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and El Porvenir 36%.
How many goals will there be in Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
Our predicted score is Central Ballester 1–1 El Porvenir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Central Ballester vs El Porvenir?
Central Ballester vs El Porvenir (Primera C) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
