Value bet: Puerto Nuevo to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultYupanqui to win45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.08
Yupanqui vs Puerto Nuevo preview and prediction
The match
Puerto Nuevo travel to face Yupanqui in the Primera C on Sunday 19 April (17:00 WAT). Yupanqui are 12th with 35 points from 32 games (in the bottom three), while Puerto Nuevo sit 9th on 41 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Yupanqui's last 4: DDWW Most recently they drew with El Porvenir 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Puerto Nuevo's last 4: WDDW Most recently they beat Sacachispas 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Yupanqui and 0.9 for Puerto Nuevo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yupanqui 45%, draw 23%, Puerto Nuevo 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Puerto Nuevo to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Yupanqui 1–1 Puerto Nuevo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yupanqui45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Puerto Nuevo32%fair 3.11 · @3.50
2.14Expected goals
1.20Yupanqui xG
0.94Puerto Nuevo xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Yupanqui 1.2 – 0.9 Puerto Nuevo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yupanqui to win
45%
2.21
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yupanqui / FT Yupanqui
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.08
–
Form
Yupanqui – last 4
DDWW
13 Apr
vs El Porvenir
2–2
D
23 Mar
@ Argentino Rosario
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Deportivo Muñiz
2–0
W
23 Feb
@ Deportivo Español
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Puerto Nuevo – last 4
WDDW
6 Apr
@ Sacachispas
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Argentino Rosario
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ Fénix
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Victoriano Arenas
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yupanqui and Puerto Nuevo.
What is the prediction for Yupanqui vs Puerto Nuevo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Yupanqui vs Puerto Nuevo?
On our numbers Yupanqui have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Puerto Nuevo 32%.
How many goals will there be in Yupanqui vs Puerto Nuevo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yupanqui vs Puerto Nuevo?
Our predicted score is Yupanqui 1–1 Puerto Nuevo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Yupanqui vs Puerto Nuevo?
Yupanqui vs Puerto Nuevo (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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