Value bet: Deportivo Español to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Español to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceDeportivo Español or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.76
Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas preview and prediction
The match
The Primera C sees Deportivo Español take on Atletico Atlas on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Deportivo Español are 3rd with 52 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Atletico Atlas sit 10th on 37 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Español and 0.3 for Atletico Atlas. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Español 64%, draw 24%, Atletico Atlas 13%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.38.
Value angle: Deportivo Español to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Deportivo Español 1–0 Atletico Atlas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Español64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.90
Atletico Atlas13%fair 7.85 · @5.80
1.52Expected goals
1.22Deportivo Español xG
0.30Atletico Atlas xG
40%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Español 1.2 – 0.3 Atletico Atlas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Español to win✗
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Español or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Español / FT Deportivo Español✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.76
–
Form
Deportivo Español – last 2
DL
23 Mar
@ Victoriano Arenas
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Yupanqui
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Atlas – last 1
L
20 Mar
@ Sacachispas
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Español and Atletico Atlas.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
On our numbers Deportivo Español have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Atlas 13%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Español 1–0 Atletico Atlas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas?
Deportivo Español vs Atletico Atlas (Primera C) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensores de Cambaceres3
Juventud Unida0
Puerto Nuevo1
Argentino Rosario1