Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano preview and prediction
The match
Excursionistas host Sportivo Italiano in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Excursionistas Stadium. Excursionistas are 1st with 81 points from 42 games (top of the table), while Sportivo Italiano sit 3rd on 72 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Excursionistas's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with San Martín Burzaco 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Italiano's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Arsenal Sarandi 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Sportivo Italiano 0–1 Excursionistas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.9 for Excursionistas and 0.5 for Sportivo Italiano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Excursionistas 72%, draw 18%, Sportivo Italiano 11%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Excursionistas 1–0 Sportivo Italiano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excursionistas72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @4.50
Sportivo Italiano11%fair 9.48 · @11.00
2.38Expected goals
1.88Excursionistas xG
0.50Sportivo Italiano xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
0–09%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.9 – 0.5 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sportivo Italiano 11%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 1–0 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano?
Excursionistas vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
