Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Italiano to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.88
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Argentino de Merlo take on Sportivo Italiano on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva. Argentino de Merlo are 13th with 50 points from 42 games (in the bottom half), while Sportivo Italiano sit 3rd on 72 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Argentino de Merlo's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to San Martín Burzaco 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Sportivo Italiano's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Talleres Remedios 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Italiano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Sportivo Italiano 0–2 Argentino de Merlo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Argentino de Merlo and 1.2 for Sportivo Italiano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentino de Merlo 31%, draw 23%, Sportivo Italiano 45%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Argentino de Merlo 0–1 Sportivo Italiano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino de Merlo31%fair 3.19 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.88
Sportivo Italiano45%fair 2.21 · @2.10
2.10Expected goals
0.91Argentino de Merlo xG
1.19Sportivo Italiano xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 0.9 – 1.2 Sportivo Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sportivo Italiano 45%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our predicted score is Argentino de Merlo 0–1 Sportivo Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
