Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUAI Urquiza to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceUAI Urquiza or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.22
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees UAI Urquiza take on Ituzaingó on Monday 5 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Monumental de Villa Lynch. UAI Urquiza are 21st with 45 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while Ituzaingó sit 22nd on 17 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
UAI Urquiza's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Villa Dalmine 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ituzaingó's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Defensores Unidos 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
UAI Urquiza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished Ituzaingó 1–1 UAI Urquiza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for UAI Urquiza and 0.4 for Ituzaingó. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was UAI Urquiza to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: UAI Urquiza 1–0 Ituzaingó. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UAI Urquiza66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Ituzaingó11%fair 9.52 · @5.00
1.80Expected goals
1.43UAI Urquiza xG
0.37Ituzaingó xG
42%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–017%
0–017%
1–19%
3–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 1.4 – 0.4 Ituzaingó expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
Our pick is UAI Urquiza to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ituzaingó 11%.
How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 1–0 Ituzaingó, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó?
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
