Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Villa Dalmine to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Dalmine to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chanceVilla Dalmine or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗25% · fair 3.92
Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Villa Dalmine take on UAI Urquiza on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini. Villa Dalmine are 6th with 68 points from 42 games (in the top half), while UAI Urquiza sit 21st on 45 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Villa Dalmine's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Ituzaingó 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
UAI Urquiza's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Excursionistas 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Villa Dalmine arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 1.2 for Villa Dalmine and 0.4 for UAI Urquiza. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 80% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Dalmine 61%, draw 23%, UAI Urquiza 15%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Villa Dalmine to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Villa Dalmine 1–0 UAI Urquiza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Dalmine61%fair 1.63 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.10
UAI Urquiza15%fair 6.58 · @5.80
1.53Expected goals
1.18Villa Dalmine xG
0.35UAI Urquiza xG
40%Both score
20%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–025%
0–022%
2–015%
1–19%
0–18%
3–06%
From our goals model: Villa Dalmine 1.2 – 0.4 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Dalmine to win✗
61%
1.63
1.62
Double chance
Villa Dalmine or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Dalmine / FT Villa Dalmine✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
25%
3.92
–
Form
Villa Dalmine – last 6
WLLDDW
19 Sep
vs Ituzaingó
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Excursionistas
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Argentino de Merlo
0–0
D
25 Aug
vs Talleres Remedios
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ Deportivo Laferrere
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
UAI Urquiza – last 6
LLWLLD
19 Sep
vs Excursionistas
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Arsenal Sarandi
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Argentino de Merlo
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Deportivo Laferrere
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Dalmine and UAI Urquiza.
What is the prediction for Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?
Our pick is Villa Dalmine to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?
On our numbers Villa Dalmine have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UAI Urquiza 15%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?
Our predicted score is Villa Dalmine 1–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza?
Villa Dalmine vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
