Value bet: Argentino de Merlo to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentino de Merlo to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.62
UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees UAI Urquiza take on Argentino de Merlo on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Monumental de Villa Lynch. UAI Urquiza are 21st with 45 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while Argentino de Merlo sit 13th on 50 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
UAI Urquiza's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Talleres Remedios 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Argentino de Merlo's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Villa Dalmine 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Argentino de Merlo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.7 for UAI Urquiza and 0.9 for Argentino de Merlo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Argentino de Merlo to win at 2.70 – 42% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: UAI Urquiza 0–0 Argentino de Merlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UAI Urquiza32%fair 3.14 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @2.50
Argentino de Merlo42%fair 2.40 · @2.70
1.61Expected goals
0.72UAI Urquiza xG
0.89Argentino de Merlo xG
45%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
0–118%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 0.7 – 0.9 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino de Merlo to win✗
42%
2.40
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.62
–
Form
UAI Urquiza – last 6
LLDLDD
29 Aug
@ Talleres Remedios
0–1
L
25 Aug
vs Deportivo Laferrere
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs Deportivo Armenio
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Flandria
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Argentino Quilmes
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
DLDDWL
30 Aug
vs Villa Dalmine
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Excursionistas
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Ituzaingó
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Talleres Remedios
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Deportivo Laferrere
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UAI Urquiza and Argentino de Merlo.
What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?
On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Argentino de Merlo 42%.
How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo?
UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
