Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Excursionistas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓63% · @1.77
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.43
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees Excursionistas take on Argentino de Merlo on Wednesday 26 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at Excursionistas Stadium. Excursionistas are 1st with 81 points from 42 games (top of the table), while Argentino de Merlo sit 13th on 50 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Excursionistas's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Talleres Remedios 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Argentino de Merlo's last 5: DDWLL Most recently they drew with Arsenal Sarandi 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Excursionistas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Argentino de Merlo 1–1 Excursionistas.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Excursionistas and 0.6 for Argentino de Merlo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Excursionistas 63%, draw 24%, Argentino de Merlo 13%.
Safer route: Excursionistas or draw (87%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Excursionistas to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Excursionistas 1–0 Argentino de Merlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excursionistas63%fair 1.59 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Argentino de Merlo13%fair 7.66 · @4.60
2.16Expected goals
1.60Excursionistas xG
0.56Argentino de Merlo xG
47%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.6 – 0.6 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our pick is Excursionistas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Argentino de Merlo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 1–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo?
Excursionistas vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
