Value bet: Liniers to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiniers to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.28
UAI Urquiza vs Liniers preview and prediction
The match
The Primera B Metropolitana sees UAI Urquiza take on Liniers on Monday 8 June, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Monumental de Villa Lynch. UAI Urquiza are 21st with 45 points from 42 games (in the bottom three), while Liniers sit 16th on 48 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
UAI Urquiza's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Real Pilar 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Liniers's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Villa Dalmine 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for UAI Urquiza and 0.9 for Liniers. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Liniers to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: UAI Urquiza 0–0 Liniers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UAI Urquiza35%fair 2.89 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.85
Liniers39%fair 2.53 · @2.75
1.76Expected goals
0.83UAI Urquiza xG
0.92Liniers xG
49%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: UAI Urquiza 0.8 – 0.9 Liniers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liniers to win✗
39%
2.53
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.28
–
Form
UAI Urquiza – last 6
LLDDDL
30 May
@ Real Pilar
1–2
L
26 May
@ Comunicaciones
0–3
L
22 May
@ Ituzaingó
1–1
D
9 May
@ Excursionistas
0–0
D
15 Apr
@ Deportivo Laferrere
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Liniers – last 6
WDLLLD
31 May
vs Villa Dalmine
1–0
W
26 May
@ Deportivo Merlo
0–0
D
23 May
@ Excursionistas
1–4
L
15 Apr
@ Deportivo Armenio
0–1
L
10 Apr
vs Flandria
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Defensores Unidos
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UAI Urquiza and Liniers.
What is the prediction for UAI Urquiza vs Liniers?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win UAI Urquiza vs Liniers?
On our numbers UAI Urquiza have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Liniers 39%.
How many goals will there be in UAI Urquiza vs Liniers?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UAI Urquiza vs Liniers?
Our predicted score is UAI Urquiza 0–0 Liniers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is UAI Urquiza vs Liniers?
UAI Urquiza vs Liniers (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Monday 8 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Monumental de Villa Lynch.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
