Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Excursionistas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultExcursionistas to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceExcursionistas or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.12
Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco preview and prediction
The match
Excursionistas host San Martín Burzaco in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Excursionistas Stadium. Excursionistas are 1st with 81 points from 42 games (top of the table), while San Martín Burzaco sit 12th on 51 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Excursionistas's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Villa San Carlos 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
San Martín Burzaco's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Arsenal Sarandi 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Excursionistas and 0.5 for San Martín Burzaco. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Excursionistas 63%, draw 22%, San Martín Burzaco 15%.
Safer route: Excursionistas or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Excursionistas to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Excursionistas 1–0 San Martín Burzaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Excursionistas63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @2.95
San Martín Burzaco15%fair 6.67 · @3.90
2.04Expected goals
1.50Excursionistas xG
0.54San Martín Burzaco xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Excursionistas 1.5 – 0.5 San Martín Burzaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Excursionistas to win✓
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Excursionistas or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Excursionistas / FT Excursionistas✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.12
–
Form
Excursionistas – last 6
WDWDLD
31 May
@ Villa San Carlos
2–0
W
27 May
@ Argentino Quilmes
2–2
D
23 May
vs Liniers
4–1
W
9 May
vs UAI Urquiza
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Arsenal Sarandi
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Argentino de Merlo
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Martín Burzaco – last 6
WWLLWD
31 May
vs Arsenal Sarandi
2–0
W
27 May
@ Sportivo Italiano
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Flandria
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Argentino Quilmes
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Comunicaciones
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dock Sud
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Excursionistas and San Martín Burzaco.
What is the prediction for Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our pick is Excursionistas to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
On our numbers Excursionistas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Martín Burzaco 15%.
How many goals will there be in Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our predicted score is Excursionistas 1–0 San Martín Burzaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco?
Excursionistas vs San Martín Burzaco (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
