Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: UAI Urquiza to win @ 3.65 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Pilar to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza preview and prediction
The match
UAI Urquiza travel to Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza in the Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday 30 May (19:30 WAT) to face Real Pilar. Real Pilar are 7th with 66 points from 42 games (in the top half), while UAI Urquiza sit 21st on 45 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Real Pilar's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Dock Sud 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
UAI Urquiza's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Comunicaciones 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Real Pilar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Real Pilar and 0.8 for UAI Urquiza. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Pilar 47%, draw 24%, UAI Urquiza 29%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Value angle: UAI Urquiza to win at 3.65 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Real Pilar 1–0 UAI Urquiza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Pilar47%fair 2.13 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
UAI Urquiza29%fair 3.41 · @3.65
1.95Expected goals
1.14Real Pilar xG
0.81UAI Urquiza xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Real Pilar 1.1 – 0.8 UAI Urquiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Pilar to win✓
47%
2.13
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Pilar / FT Real Pilar✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Form
Real Pilar – last 6
LDWLWL
26 May
@ Dock Sud
0–2
L
15 Apr
@ Brown DE Adrogue
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Argentino Quilmes
3–2
W
26 Mar
@ Banfield
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Deportivo Merlo
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
UAI Urquiza – last 6
LDDDLD
26 May
@ Comunicaciones
0–3
L
22 May
@ Ituzaingó
1–1
D
9 May
@ Excursionistas
0–0
D
15 Apr
@ Deportivo Laferrere
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Brown DE Adrogue
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Defensores Unidos
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Pilar and UAI Urquiza.
What is the prediction for Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
On our numbers Real Pilar have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UAI Urquiza 29%.
How many goals will there be in Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
Our predicted score is Real Pilar 1–0 UAI Urquiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza?
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
