Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 10 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultArsenal Sarandi to win ✓62% · @1.80

Double chanceArsenal Sarandi or draw ✓88% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.71

Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo preview and prediction

The match

The Primera B Metropolitana sees Arsenal Sarandi take on Argentino de Merlo on Friday 10 April, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona. Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd with 77 points from 42 games (in the top four), while Argentino de Merlo sit 13th on 50 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Arsenal Sarandi's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Argentino Quilmes 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Argentino de Merlo's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Ituzaingó 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Argentino de Merlo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Arsenal Sarandi and 0.5 for Argentino de Merlo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Arsenal Sarandi 62%, draw 26%, Argentino de Merlo 12%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.44.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Arsenal Sarandi to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 Argentino de Merlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Arsenal Sarandi62%fair 1.60 · @1.80

Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00

Argentino de Merlo12%fair 8.38 · @4.50

1.93Expected goals

1.46Arsenal Sarandi xG

0.47Argentino de Merlo xG

42%Both score

32%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–021%

2–016%

0–015%

1–110%

3–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Arsenal Sarandi 1.5 – 0.5 Argentino de Merlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arsenal Sarandi to win ✓	62%	1.60	1.80 ▲
Double chance	Arsenal Sarandi or draw ✓	88%	1.14	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	58%	1.74	1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.12
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.06	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✓	38%	2.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	21%	4.71	–

Form

Arsenal Sarandi – last 3

LDD

4 Mar	vs Argentino Quilmes	0–1	L
27 Feb	@ Defensores Unidos	1–1	D
15 Feb	@ Dock Sud	1–1	D

0.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Argentino de Merlo – last 5

WLWWL

3 Apr	@ Ituzaingó	1–0	W
29 Mar	vs Talleres Remedios	0–1	L
4 Mar	vs Flandria	2–0	W
27 Feb	@ Argentino Quilmes	1–0	W
16 Feb	@ Comunicaciones	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

0.4Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	42	24	9	9	+36	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	42	21	14	7	+28	77
3	Sportivo Italiano	42	20	12	10	+15	72
4	Talleres Remedios	42	20	11	11	+19	71
5	Deportivo Camioneros	42	19	13	10	+15	70
6	Villa Dalmine	42	18	14	10	+12	68
7	Real Pilar	42	18	12	12	+4	66
8	Deportivo Armenio	42	17	12	13	+3	63
9	Comunicaciones	42	15	15	12	+5	60
10	Deportivo Laferrere	42	15	14	13	-2	59
11	Villa San Carlos	42	12	15	15	-5	51
12	San Martín Burzaco	42	12	15	15	-6	51
13	Argentino de Merlo	42	13	11	18	-6	50
14	Flandria	42	13	10	19	-10	49
15	Deportivo Merlo	42	11	16	15	-15	49
16	Liniers	42	11	15	16	-7	48
17	Argentino Quilmes	42	10	17	15	-8	47
18	Dock Sud	42	11	14	17	-9	47
19	Defensores Unidos	42	10	16	16	-6	46
20	Brown DE Adrogue	42	10	16	16	-12	46
21	UAI Urquiza	42	8	21	13	-10	45
22	Ituzaingó	42	1	14	27	-41	17

Team

Pts

+36

+28

+15

+19

+15

+12

-2

-5

-6

-6

-10

-15

-7

-8

-9

-6

-12

-10

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?

Our pick is Arsenal Sarandi to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?

On our numbers Arsenal Sarandi have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Argentino de Merlo 12%.

How many goals will there be in Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?

Our predicted score is Arsenal Sarandi 1–0 Argentino de Merlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo?

Arsenal Sarandi vs Argentino de Merlo (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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