Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Mictlán to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMictlán to win ✗63% · @1.95
Double chanceMictlán or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.00
Mictlán vs Xelajú preview and prediction
The match
Mictlán host Xelajú in the Liga Nacional on Monday 20 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Asuncion. Mictlán are 9th with 27 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Xelajú sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mictlán's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Mixco 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Xelajú's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Achuapa 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Xelajú arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Xelajú 2–0 Mictlán.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Mictlán and 0.7 for Xelajú. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mictlán 63%, draw 21%, Xelajú 16%.
Safer route: Mictlán or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Mictlán to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mictlán or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mictlán 1–0 Xelajú. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mictlán63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.20
Xelajú16%fair 6.38 · @3.65
2.38Expected goals
1.70Mictlán xG
0.68Xelajú xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Mictlán 1.7 – 0.7 Xelajú expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Mictlán or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mictlán vs Xelajú?
On our numbers Mictlán have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Xelajú 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mictlán vs Xelajú?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mictlán vs Xelajú?
Our predicted score is Mictlán 1–0 Xelajú, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mictlán vs Xelajú?
Mictlán vs Xelajú (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Asuncion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
