Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCobán Imperial to win68% · @1.40
Double chanceCobán Imperial or draw88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.99
Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Cobán Imperial take on Achuapa on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Verapaz. Cobán Imperial are 6th with 32 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Achuapa sit 12th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cobán Imperial's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Malacateco 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Achuapa's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Xelajú 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Cobán Imperial arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Cobán Imperial and 0.6 for Achuapa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 51% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cobán Imperial 1–0 Achuapa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cobán Imperial68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Achuapa12%fair 8.39 · @7.75
2.38Expected goals
1.81Cobán Imperial xG
0.57Achuapa xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Cobán Imperial 1.8 – 0.6 Achuapa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cobán Imperial to win
68%
1.47
1.40
Double chance
Cobán Imperial or draw
88%
1.14
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.28
Half-time result
Cobán Imperial ahead at half-time
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobán Imperial / FT Cobán Imperial
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.99
–
Form
Cobán Imperial – last 6
LDDLWD
17 Apr
@ Malacateco
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Municipal
0–0
D
1 Apr
vs Aurora
0–0
D
19 Mar
@ Marquense
1–3
L
15 Mar
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Antigua GFC
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Achuapa – last 6
LLLLLL
17 Apr
@ Xelajú
0–3
L
7 Apr
@ Guastatoya
1–3
L
2 Apr
vs Municipal
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Aurora
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Mictlán
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cobán Imperial and Achuapa.
What is the prediction for Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?
On our numbers Cobán Imperial have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Achuapa 12%.
How many goals will there be in Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?
Our predicted score is Cobán Imperial 1–0 Achuapa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa?
Cobán Imperial vs Achuapa (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Verapaz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
