Value bet: Antigua GFC to win @ 3.10 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntigua GFC to win ✗41% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.89
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Guastatoya take on Antigua GFC on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT). Guastatoya are 7th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Antigua GFC sit 5th on 34 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guastatoya's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Achuapa 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Antigua GFC's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Municipal 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Antigua GFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Antigua GFC 2–0 Guastatoya.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Guastatoya and 1.3 for Antigua GFC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Antigua GFC to win at 3.10 – 41% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Guastatoya 1–1 Antigua GFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guastatoya36%fair 2.81 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Antigua GFC41%fair 2.47 · @3.10
2.55Expected goals
1.22Guastatoya xG
1.33Antigua GFC xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.2 – 1.3 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Antigua GFC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–1 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC?
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
