Malacateco travel to Estadio Mario Camposeco in the Liga Nacional on Monday 6 April (03:00 WAT) to face Xelajú. Xelajú are 1st with 39 points from 22 games (top of the table), while Malacateco sit 10th on 22 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Xelajú's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Marquense 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Malacateco's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Guastatoya 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Xelajú arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished Malacateco 1–0 Xelajú.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Xelajú and 0.7 for Malacateco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Xelajú 1–0 Malacateco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xelajú64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.50
Malacateco13%fair 7.83 · @5.25
2.45Expected goals
1.78Xelajú xG
0.67Malacateco xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.8 – 0.7 Malacateco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Xelajú vs Malacateco?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Malacateco 13%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Malacateco?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Malacateco?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–0 Malacateco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Malacateco?
Xelajú vs Malacateco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
