Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMixco to win ✓64% · @1.48
Double chanceMixco or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30
Mixco vs Marquense preview and prediction
The match
Mixco host Marquense in the Liga Nacional on Tuesday 7 April, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT). Mixco are 3rd with 36 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Marquense sit 8th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mixco's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Comunicaciones 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Marquense's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Xelajú 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Marquense 2–1 Mixco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Mixco and 0.7 for Marquense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mixco 64%, draw 20%, Marquense 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mixco 1–0 Marquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mixco64%fair 1.56 · @1.48
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.70
Marquense16%fair 6.31 · @6.50
2.38Expected goals
1.71Mixco xG
0.67Marquense xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.7 – 0.7 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mixco vs Marquense?
On our numbers Mixco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Marquense 16%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Marquense?
Mixco vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
