The Liga Nacional sees Malacateco take on Aurora on Monday 23 March, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT). Malacateco are 10th with 22 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Aurora sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Malacateco's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Mictlán 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Aurora's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Guastatoya 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Malacateco and 0.7 for Aurora. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Malacateco 1–0 Aurora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malacateco64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.75
Aurora14%fair 7.02 · @5.60
2.55Expected goals
1.83Malacateco xG
0.72Aurora xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Malacateco 1.8 – 0.7 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malacateco to win✗
64%
1.56
1.53
Double chance
Malacateco or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Malacateco ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malacateco / FT Malacateco✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.98
–
Form
Malacateco – last 6
LLLLDL
19 Mar
@ Mictlán
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Mixco
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Marquense
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Comunicaciones
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Antigua GFC
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aurora – last 6
LLLDDD
19 Mar
vs Guastatoya
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ Municipal
1–4
L
11 Mar
@ Mictlán
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Mixco
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Marquense
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malacateco and Aurora.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Malacateco vs Aurora?
On our numbers Malacateco have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aurora 14%.
How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malacateco vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Malacateco 1–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Malacateco vs Aurora?
Malacateco vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
