Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Municipal to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Guastatoya vs Municipal preview and prediction
The match
Guastatoya host Municipal in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT). Guastatoya are 7th with 31 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Municipal sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Guastatoya's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Aurora 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Municipal's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Xelajú 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Guastatoya and 1.3 for Municipal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guastatoya 34%, draw 25%, Municipal 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Municipal to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guastatoya34%fair 2.95 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Municipal41%fair 2.45 · @2.62
2.38Expected goals
1.12Guastatoya xG
1.26Municipal xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.1 – 1.3 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✗
41%
2.45
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.59
–
Form
Guastatoya – last 6
WWDLWL
19 Mar
@ Aurora
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Mictlán
3–1
W
5 Mar
@ Marquense
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
2–0
W
17 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Municipal – last 6
LWLWLW
20 Mar
@ Xelajú
1–3
L
16 Mar
vs Aurora
4–1
W
4 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guastatoya and Municipal.
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Municipal?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Municipal 41%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Guastatoya 1–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guastatoya vs Municipal?
Guastatoya vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
