Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23
Municipal vs Aurora preview and prediction
The match
Municipal host Aurora in the Liga Nacional on Monday 16 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. Municipal are 2nd with 38 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Aurora sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Municipal's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Mixco 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Aurora's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Mictlán 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Municipal and 0.6 for Aurora. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 48%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Municipal 68%, draw 20%, Aurora 12%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Municipal to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Municipal 1–0 Aurora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Municipal68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @4.75
Aurora12%fair 8.39 · @11.00
2.46Expected goals
1.87Municipal xG
0.59Aurora xG
48%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Municipal 1.9 – 0.6 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Municipal
Aurora
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+8%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-40%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.90
0.58
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Municipal or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Municipal ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.23
–
Form
Municipal – last 6
LWLWDD
4 Mar
@ Mixco
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Aurora – last 6
LDDDWL
11 Mar
@ Mictlán
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Xelajú
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Mixco
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Marquense
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Comunicaciones
2–0
W
19 Feb
@ Antigua GFC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal and Aurora.
Our pick is Municipal to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Municipal vs Aurora?
On our numbers Municipal have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aurora 12%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Municipal 1–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Aurora?
Municipal vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
