Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal to win ✗37% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.42
Mixco vs Municipal preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Mixco take on Municipal on Wednesday 4 March, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Mixco are 3rd with 36 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Municipal sit 2nd on 38 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mixco's last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with Aurora 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Municipal's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Marquense 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Municipal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Mixco and 1.1 for Municipal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mixco 34%, draw 29%, Municipal 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Mixco 1–1 Municipal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mixco34%fair 2.97 · @2.65
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.88
Municipal37%fair 2.69 · @2.65
2.26Expected goals
1.12Mixco xG
1.14Municipal xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mixco 1.1 – 1.1 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Mixco
Municipal
Attack vs Liga Nacional average
+16%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-40%
Our expected goals here
1.16
1.12
Our own ratings from every Liga Nacional result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✗
37%
2.69
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal✗
20%
4.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.42
–
Form
Mixco – last 4
DDLL
1 Mar
@ Aurora
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Mictlán
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Xelajú
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Marquense
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Municipal – last 5
WLWDD
1 Mar
vs Marquense
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixco and Municipal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Mixco vs Municipal?
On our numbers Mixco have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Municipal 37%.
How many goals will there be in Mixco vs Municipal?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixco vs Municipal?
Our predicted score is Mixco 1–1 Municipal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mixco vs Municipal?
Mixco vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
