Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
2
Value bet: Mixco to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMixco to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Marquense vs Mixco preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Marquense take on Mixco on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada. Marquense are 8th with 30 points from 22 games (in the bottom half), while Mixco sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Marquense and 1.2 for Mixco. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marquense 36%, draw 26%, Mixco 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Mixco to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.49. Predicted score: Marquense 1–1 Mixco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marquense36%fair 2.77 · @2.37
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.87
Mixco38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
2.30Expected goals
1.13Marquense xG
1.17Mixco xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Marquense 1.1 – 1.2 Mixco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mixco to win✗
38%
2.61
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.47
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mixco / FT Mixco✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.52
–
Form
Marquense – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Xelajú
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mixco
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marquense and Mixco.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Marquense vs Mixco?
On our numbers Marquense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mixco 38%.
How many goals will there be in Marquense vs Mixco?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marquense vs Mixco?
Our predicted score is Marquense 1–1 Mixco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marquense vs Mixco?
Marquense vs Mixco (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Marquesa de la Ensenada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
