Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAchuapa to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
Achuapa vs Guastatoya preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Achuapa take on Guastatoya on Tuesday 17 February, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Winston Pineda. Achuapa are 12th with 19 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Guastatoya sit 7th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Achuapa and 1.1 for Guastatoya. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Achuapa 1–1 Guastatoya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Achuapa40%fair 2.49 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.90
Guastatoya34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
2.35Expected goals
1.24Achuapa xG
1.11Guastatoya xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Achuapa 1.2 – 1.1 Guastatoya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Achuapa to win✓
40%
2.49
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Achuapa / FT Achuapa✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Form
Achuapa – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Municipal
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Guastatoya – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Malacateco
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Achuapa and Guastatoya.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Achuapa vs Guastatoya?
On our numbers Achuapa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guastatoya 34%.
How many goals will there be in Achuapa vs Guastatoya?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Achuapa vs Guastatoya?
Our predicted score is Achuapa 1–1 Guastatoya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Achuapa vs Guastatoya?
Achuapa vs Guastatoya (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Winston Pineda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.