Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAntigua GFC to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Antigua GFC vs Aurora preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Antigua GFC take on Aurora on Thursday 19 February, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT) at Estadio Pensativo. Antigua GFC are 5th with 34 points from 22 games (in the top half), while Aurora sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Antigua GFC and 0.8 for Aurora. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Antigua GFC 2–0 Aurora. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antigua GFC63%fair 1.59 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.59 · @4.00
Aurora19%fair 5.22 · @7.00
2.64Expected goals
1.81Antigua GFC xG
0.83Aurora xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Antigua GFC 1.8 – 0.8 Aurora expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Antigua GFC to win✓
63%
1.59
1.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Half-time result
Antigua GFC ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Antigua GFC / FT Antigua GFC✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Antigua GFC – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Mictlán
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Aurora – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Cobán Imperial
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Antigua GFC and Aurora.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
On our numbers Antigua GFC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aurora 19%.
How many goals will there be in Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
Our predicted score is Antigua GFC 2–0 Aurora, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Antigua GFC vs Aurora?
Antigua GFC vs Aurora (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Pensativo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
