Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.03
Xelajú vs Marquense preview and prediction
The match
Marquense travel to Estadio Mario Camposeco in the Liga Nacional on Monday 16 February (03:00 WAT) to face Xelajú. Xelajú are 1st with 39 points from 22 games (top of the table), while Marquense sit 8th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 2.0 for Xelajú and 0.5 for Marquense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xelajú 71%, draw 21%, Marquense 8%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Xelajú 1–0 Marquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xelajú71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.00
Marquense8%fair 12.50 · @8.00
2.46Expected goals
1.95Xelajú xG
0.51Marquense xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–016%
3–011%
1–19%
0–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Xelajú 2.0 – 0.5 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xelajú to win✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Double chance
Xelajú or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.02
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Xelajú ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú✓
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.03
–
Form
Xelajú
No recent results on record.
Marquense
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Marquense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Xelajú vs Marquense?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Marquense 8%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Marquense?
Xelajú vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 16 February 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
