Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAbha to win ✗44% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Al-Raed vs Abha preview and prediction
The match
Abha travel to King Abdullah Sports City Stadium in the Division 1 on Wednesday 13 May (15:50 WAT) to face Al-Raed.
Form guide
Al-Raed's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Al-Faisaly FC 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Abha's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Al Diriyah 0–2 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Abha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Al-Raed and 1.6 for Abha. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Raed 36%, draw 21%, Abha 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Al-Raed 1–1 Abha. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Raed36%fair 2.80 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.45
Abha44%fair 2.29 · @2.38
3.00Expected goals
1.41Al-Raed xG
1.59Abha xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al-Raed 1.4 – 1.6 Abha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Abha to win✗
44%
2.29
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Abha / FT Abha✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Al-Raed – last 6
LWLWDL
27 Apr
vs Al-Faisaly FC
1–2
L
21 Apr
@ Al Diriyah
3–1
W
15 Apr
vs Al Orubah
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Jeddah Club
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Al Wehda Club
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Al Anwar
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Abha – last 6
LWWWWW
1 May
@ Al Diriyah
0–2
L
21 Apr
@ Al Taee
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Jeddah Club
1–0
W
9 Apr
@ Al Ula
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Al Bukayriyah
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Al Jubail
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Raed and Abha.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al-Raed vs Abha?
On our numbers Al-Raed have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Abha 44%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Raed vs Abha?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Raed vs Abha?
Our predicted score is Al-Raed 1–1 Abha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Raed vs Abha?
Al-Raed vs Abha (Division 1) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 15:50 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.