Value bet: San Martin S.J. to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin S.J. to win ✗37% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. preview and prediction
The match
Nueva Chicago host San Martin S.J. in the Primera Nacional on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nueva Chicago. Nueva Chicago are 17th with 37 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while San Martin S.J. sit 9th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nueva Chicago's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Gimnasia Jujuy 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Martin S.J.'s last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Temperley 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Nueva Chicago and 0.9 for San Martin S.J.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nueva Chicago 36%, draw 27%, San Martin S.J. 37%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Value angle: San Martin S.J. to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Nueva Chicago 0–0 San Martin S.J.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nueva Chicago36%fair 2.79 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.70
San Martin S.J.37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
1.87Expected goals
0.92Nueva Chicago xG
0.95San Martin S.J. xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 0.9 – 0.9 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin S.J. to win✗
37%
2.70
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.86
–
Form
Nueva Chicago – last 6
LLLWDL
17 Oct
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Temperley
1–2
L
5 Oct
vs Deportivo Maipu
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Almagro
1–0
W
21 Sep
vs Patronato
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Colegiales
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
San Martin S.J. – last 6
DDLLWD
18 Oct
vs Temperley
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Deportivo Maipu
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Almagro
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Patronato
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Colegiales
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J..
What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Martin S.J. 37%.
How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 0–0 San Martin S.J., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.?
Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
