Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 4.00 – our chance 32% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFerro Carril Oeste to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.13
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Ferro Carril Oeste take on Deportivo Madryn on Friday 2 October, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry. Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd with 66 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Deportivo Madryn sit 4th on 60 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ferro Carril Oeste's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Madryn's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Central Norte 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Deportivo Madryn 0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.9 for Deportivo Madryn. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Madryn to win at 4.00 – 32% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–1 Deportivo Madryn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferro Carril Oeste45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.90
Deportivo Madryn32%fair 3.16 · @4.00
2.15Expected goals
1.20Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.95Deportivo Madryn xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.2 – 0.9 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Madryn 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–1 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
