Value bet: Ciudad de Bolívar to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAcassuso to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.08
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Acassuso take on Ciudad de Bolívar on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at La Quema Stadium. Acassuso are 17th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Ciudad de Bolívar sit 7th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Acassuso's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Almirante Brown 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ciudad de Bolívar's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Chaco For Ever 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Acassuso and 0.8 for Ciudad de Bolívar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Acassuso 42%, draw 25%, Ciudad de Bolívar 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Ciudad de Bolívar to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Acassuso 1–1 Ciudad de Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Acassuso42%fair 2.39 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.70
Ciudad de Bolívar33%fair 3.04 · @3.50
1.77Expected goals
0.97Acassuso xG
0.80Ciudad de Bolívar xG
50%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–016%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Acassuso 1.0 – 0.8 Ciudad de Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Acassuso to win✗
42%
2.39
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.08
–
Form
Acassuso – last 6
WWLLDL
27 Sep
@ Almirante Brown
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Atletico Mitre
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ CA Estudiantes
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs All Boys
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
26 Aug
vs San Telmo
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6
WLDLWD
26 Sep
vs Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Central Norte
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Defensores De Belgrano
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Racing Cordoba
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Acassuso and Ciudad de Bolívar.
What is the prediction for Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
On our numbers Acassuso have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ciudad de Bolívar 33%.
How many goals will there be in Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Acassuso 1–1 Ciudad de Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at La Quema Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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