Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.57
Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Quilmes take on Club Atlético Güemes on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes. Quilmes are 13th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Quilmes's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Chacarita Juniors 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Club Atlético Güemes's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Midland 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Quilmes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Quilmes and 0.5 for Club Atlético Güemes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Quilmes 69%, draw 21%, Club Atlético Güemes 10%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Quilmes 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quilmes69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.80
Club Atlético Güemes10%fair 10.27 · @8.50
2.31Expected goals
1.80Quilmes xG
0.50Club Atlético Güemes xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.8 – 0.5 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Quilmes to win✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Double chance
Quilmes or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Half-time result
Quilmes ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Quilmes / FT Quilmes✓
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.57
–
Form
Quilmes – last 6
LWLLLW
20 Sep
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs San Martin S.J.
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Nueva Chicago
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Temperley
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Deportivo Maipu
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs San Telmo
3–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
LLLDDD
20 Sep
vs Midland
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Atlanta
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Quilmes and Club Atlético Güemes.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Club Atlético Güemes 10%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Quilmes vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.