Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Jujuy to win ✗46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.03
Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
Gimnasia Jujuy host San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional on Monday 28 September, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio 23 de Agosto. Gimnasia Jujuy are 4th with 58 points from 36 games (in the top four), while San Martin Tucuman sit 10th on 47 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Gimnasia Jujuy's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Deportivo Maipu 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Atletico DE Rafaela 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gimnasia Jujuy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 May 2026, finished San Martin Tucuman 2–0 Gimnasia Jujuy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.0 for San Martin Tucuman. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimnasia Jujuy 46%, draw 23%, San Martin Tucuman 31%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: San Martin Tucuman to win at 3.80 – 31% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: Gimnasia Jujuy 1–0 San Martin Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimnasia Jujuy46%fair 2.18 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
San Martin Tucuman31%fair 3.24 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.35Gimnasia Jujuy xG
1.03San Martin Tucuman xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Jujuy 1.3 – 1.0 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Gimnasia Jujuy have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martin Tucuman 31%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Jujuy 1–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman?
Gimnasia Jujuy vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 23 de Agosto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
