Quilmes travel to Estadio Nueva Chicago in the Primera Nacional on Monday 7 September (21:00 WAT) to face Nueva Chicago. Nueva Chicago are 17th with 37 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Quilmes sit 13th on 45 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Nueva Chicago's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Midland 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Quilmes's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Temperley 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Quilmes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Nueva Chicago and 0.9 for Quilmes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nueva Chicago 38%, draw 27%, Quilmes 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.99, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nueva Chicago 1–1 Quilmes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nueva Chicago38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.75
Quilmes35%fair 2.84 · @2.90
1.80Expected goals
0.92Nueva Chicago xG
0.88Quilmes xG
50%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Nueva Chicago 0.9 – 0.9 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nueva Chicago to win✓
38%
2.65
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.55
–
Form
Nueva Chicago – last 6
LLLLWL
29 Aug
@ Midland
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Atlanta
0–1
L
17 Aug
@ All Boys
0–1
L
9 Aug
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Quilmes – last 6
LLWDWD
30 Aug
vs Temperley
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Deportivo Maipu
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs San Telmo
3–0
W
9 Aug
vs Almagro
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Patronato
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nueva Chicago and Quilmes.
What is the prediction for Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?
On our numbers Nueva Chicago have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Quilmes 35%.
How many goals will there be in Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Nueva Chicago 1–1 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes?
Nueva Chicago vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nueva Chicago.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
