San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Moron to win @ 2.65 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✗43% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.93
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees San Telmo take on Deportivo Moron on Friday 21 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto. San Telmo are 12th with 41 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Moron sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Telmo's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Quilmes 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Deportivo Moron's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Almagro 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Deportivo Moron arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Deportivo Moron 1–0 San Telmo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for San Telmo and 1.2 for Deportivo Moron. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Telmo 32%, draw 25%, Deportivo Moron 43%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Deportivo Moron to win at 2.65 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: San Telmo 0–1 Deportivo Moron. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Telmo32%fair 3.17 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.75
Deportivo Moron43%fair 2.30 · @2.65
2.08Expected goals
0.93San Telmo xG
1.16Deportivo Moron xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: San Telmo 0.9 – 1.2 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
On our numbers San Telmo have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Moron 43%.
How many goals will there be in San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
Our predicted score is San Telmo 0–1 Deportivo Moron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron?
San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
