Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.08
San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez preview and prediction
The match
San Martin S.J. host Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). San Martin S.J. are 9th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Tristan Suarez sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Martin S.J.'s last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Quilmes 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Tristan Suarez's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 March 2026, finished Tristan Suarez 2–1 San Martin S.J..
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for San Martin S.J. and 0.6 for Tristan Suarez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin S.J. 57%, draw 22%, Tristan Suarez 21%.
Safer route: San Martin S.J. or draw (79%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Martin S.J. to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Martin S.J. 1–0 Tristan Suarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin S.J.57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @2.90
Tristan Suarez21%fair 4.68 · @4.50
1.86Expected goals
1.26San Martin S.J. xG
0.60Tristan Suarez xG
44%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martin S.J. 1.3 – 0.6 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is San Martin S.J. to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers San Martin S.J. have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tristan Suarez 21%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is San Martin S.J. 1–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez?
San Martin S.J. vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
